Election Prediction
Official Buffalo Bean 2008 Prediction
I should make a few points to explain certain selections:
- Nevada: I originally did not have Nevada to go for McCain, but my co-author Mark Noonan (who lives in the state) is confident it will. I will trust his opinion on that
- Colorado: I think there is a chance McCain could take it, but I expect it to go for Obama.
- New Mexico: Same as Colorado. McCain could win it, but soures tell me that Bush won New Mexico mostly because he had a superior ground game, an advantage I am not convinced McCain has this year.
- Iowa: I was curious about Obama’s recent stop there, but still think he takes it.
- Minnesota: I hear it is close again in Minnesota.. But McCain pulled out of there and and I wrote it off then too.
- New Hampshire: Another state I believe McCain has a good shot at taking, but still giving no Obama.
- Pennsylvania: This state, I believe is going to be the prize of 2008. And based on various sources I have (and recent events) I think McCain is going to pull off an upset there.
Buffalo Pundit and Buffalo Geek offer their predictions.. I think predicting an Obama victory is one thing… but I think they’re both being quite over confident about Obama’s chances for a landslide.
Matt Margolis is co-author (with Mark Noonan) of Caucus of Corruption: The Truth About The New Democratic Majority. He also blogs at Blogs For Victory. Follow Matt on Twitter.
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/
wow…. were you ever wrong!!!
[...] contrast, Buffalo Bean’s predictions didn’t quite match up. He had OH, PA, VA, NV, and IN going McCain. It appears that Rus [...]
Wrong I was. Unfortunately. This country is gonna suffer greatly for 4 years.
So, if Obama is the next Hitler, how come I didn’t read anything about his “kill all the Jews” platform on here?
haha, jesus christ you suck at predicting elections
you better load up on all your guns for when obama enslaves the white people, you jerk.
The joke is on you, sd, I just joined the NRA, and plan to get my permit.